A Second Wave of Foreclosures

This chart, which you see above in this blog post, illustrates the second wave of mortgage defaults that are coming. However, there is a thing called "Early Option ARM" and these loans are negatively amortizing already and so it is reasonable to expect they will be reseting early, like now, not next year. Sometime in the next 3 to 12 months, we will see another wave of massive foreclosures. Do you see how debt works yet? Do you see how destructive it is? Economically and politically?

Something Has Got To Give Soon

We are reaching the point of no return. Soon, if not already, we will have to go into more debt just to pay the interest. What happens then? You might want to think about getting ready. This is building like a snowball and the fallout when all the money being printed by the Fed to fund this filters into the economy, you may not want to be holding U.S. currency. In fact, all the world currencies are tied to the dollar, so you may not want the bulk of your wealth in any currency. The only way I see to minimize the effects of hyperinflation on your wealth is to hold gold or silver, or some similar type of commodity that can be liquidated on the other side of a hyperinflation crisis, but not needed during the crisis.

Spend More Money to Keep From Going Bankrupt?

And you thought you had to spend less money when you are going bankrupt. At least that is what all the financial experts say, including bankruptcy court judges. What universe are we living in now where you can spend your way out of debt?

We are Now Facing the Realities of Debt

Dateline recently aired a show about how deep in debt we are, especially with credit cards, Americans are these days. The show reveals the consequences. It shows how the collection industry is booming as a result, and how they are getting more creative with their strong arm tactics. Follow the link and watch the videos and read about the show.

The Accounts Receivable Management industry advisor that publishes "Inside ARM" reported a rebuttal claiming that the report doesn't represent the industry practices. This is the public stance that any collection agency is going to officially take. However, having worked in collections myself for a while in my previous financial career, I know that what happens behind the scenes is not really like that. Collectors are encouraged to do whatever they need to, but are discouraged from doing it officially. I saw collectors fired when things went bad and the company turned on them making the individual employee the sacrificial lamb for the media. That is exactly what is happening in this report. Employees that were stars, are now bums, simply to save face for the company.

You must know your rights and you must enforce them when you face collectors knocking on your door or otherwise contacting you. To avoid this altogether, get rid of your credit cards before you get into trouble, and establish a crisis fund for emergencies. You don't need to go into debt for an emergency.

The Best Time Ever to Cut Up Your Credit Cards

You could make $300 for closing your credit card account! Citigroup, Chase, and Capital One are cutting back on their rewards programs, raising interest rates, and increasing fees. American Express recently offered some of their cardholders $300 to close their accounts. Citibank is offering a $100 gift card to those who were signed up for the "Thank You Rewards" program, and sent out a letter stating that they can revoke any rewards program any time they choose.

If you have a credit card with a reward program, you are spending more than you would otherwise. Chase did some research and found that its cardholders that participate in these reward programs showed a fast increase in spending. Yet at the same time the rewards are becoming harder to cash in. But the result of all this is that cardholders with high credit scores are becoming the new targets, and the strategy is to get them hooked in with rewards programs, and then jack their interest rates up, and start adding fees.

More Debt Problems You Need to be Aware Of

Debt causes inflation, it isn't the only cause, but since we have a "fiat" currency excessive creation of new currency devalues the existing currency. Our government has worked in concert with the Federal Reserve Bank to create almost $1 trillion in new currency in 2008. Here are the numbers from the St. Louis Federal Reserve. This is money already created. In 2009, we should expect to see this number skyrocket due to the bailout money yet to be created from the stimulus bill and bank bailouts. The government is creating a new debt bubble. This is one that will have even more serious consequences than the mortgage bubble that we are now experiencing. This is brought on by having a central bank, in our case the Federal Reserve Bank. Ron Paul has written a simple bill that we need to urge our representatives in Washington to pass that will solve this problem. Go here for more information. Call your congressmen. In the meantime, buy gold, or risk losing your buying power to hyperinflation in the near future.

What You Can Do To Protect Yourself

Here is a short video for you, to give you a little insight on why you should consider getting completely out of debt.

Bailout Update

If you take a closer look at the bailout numbers, you will find that it is now exceeding $2 Trillion, with more expected by the Obama administration yet to be announced.

Scott Snider, partner and chair of the government relations and public policy practice at Steptoe & Johnson, Washington, D.C., says $365 billion will be spent on the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP). Not all of this money has been spent yet. $125 billion has been promised to "other banks" like those corporations that are becoming banks to qualify for bailout money. (i.e. GMAC). $15 billon of that money was claimed when the government released $7.58 billion to Pittsburgh-based PNC Services Financial Group, Inc., $3.41 billion to Fifth Third Bancorp and $1.3 billion to SunTrust Banks, Inc., including others. $20 billion of the TARP money is being used as seed money for the government’s Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility (TALF) program, under which the Federal Reserve will extend up to $200 billion in non-recourse loans to holders of asset-backed securities (ABS) backed by consumer and small business loans in a bid to free up the ABS market.

After the Bear Stearns' $29 billion bailout in March, was the $200 billion government takeover of mortgage finance giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in early September, AIG for $152.5 billion (more than $127.5 billion has already been spent out of that) then Citigroup for $325 billion. $16.7 billion was spent in other FDIC takeovers of more than 20 banks Washington Mutual was the largetst. Now we are up to $1.1 trillion, not including the remaining $180 billion TARP not yet included in the calculation. There is $1.4 trillion in a commercial paper funding facility, $320 billion for the FHA, $659 billion in money market guarantees and $9 billion in student loan guarantees. The total is another $2.4 trillion.

We thought that the $700 billion number tossed around at the beginning of the crisis was a lot of money. Somehow our government has decided it has a bottomless checking account. So we need to get ready for some serious economic consequences not too far down the road. Stay out of debt, including your mortgage, become financially independent by saving aggressively and intelligently, lower your lifestyle as low as possible, and batten down the hatches.

Bad Bailouts, Good Americans

By Robert P. Fry, Jr.

"I used to have my own construction company," a taxi driver named Bruce explained. "We built houses here locally in Birmingham."

"How big was the company," I asked, "How many houses did you typically build?"

"Anywhere from 10 to 15 or so per year."

"What happened?"

"We had a project going last year with 15 lots. We'd put in all the roads and sewers and had about 9 houses built when everything just stopped dead in its tracks…No buyers. And more than that. No phone calls, no inquiries, no agents calling, nothing. The market for new houses simply died."

"So what did you do?" I asked.

"I'm still not sure that I handled it all correctly," he began. "Ourproblem was the debt on the property. The interest cost was roughly $1,000 per day. So even though we stopped all of our other expenses, there was nothing we could do about that. But we had some other assets. So we started selling things to make the payments. Finally, we got so desperate, we sold my son's Corvette and, after that, the condo in which he was living while attending the University of Alabama.

"I never thought I would have to do something like that," hecontinued, "but the corvette was worth $25,000, which meant we could pay the bank for another month. But even after that, we ran out of money. So we went to the bank and started giving them the unsold houses in lieu of cash every time we got behind on the payments. When we finally ran out of houses to give them, we had no choice but to give them the remaining land and then file for bankruptcy."
"That didn't solve all the problems," Bruce explained, "since we still needed to put food on the table and had other bills to pay. So late last year I leased a cab and started driving. That has worked out pretty well; the cab has really been a blessing. So I decided to buy this cab just a couple of months ago."

Bruce, who looks to be about 50-something – with a daughter out of college and a Corvette-less son who's a sophomore in college – works all night Friday and Saturday, gets up in the afternoon Saturday to watch a little football and gets up Sunday morning to go to church, then starts making runs to the Birmingham airport around 4:30 Monday morning. I heard not one word of complaint about his new life, just the simple statement, "The cab has been a real blessing."
There were, of course, some good chuckles about that. With the move from business owner to cab driver, he admits that some of his friends and family haven't known what to say to him.

"What are you doing these days, Bruce?" my friends ask.

"I'm driving a cab."

"Oh. (Long pause.)…What kind of team do you think the Tide will have this year?"
But Bruce doesn't seem to care much about "what the neighbors say." He cares about what his family says. When it came to selling the Corvette, Bruce told me, "Taking my son for a drive and telling him that I needed to sell his car was probably the lowest and most difficult moment of my life."

"We had done everything that we could for our kids and I was worried that I might have raised some sort of runny nosed-kid who needed a Corvette and would never be able to support himself. In addition to selling his car, we sold the condo where he was living and couldn't even help him pay the rent on his apartment so he had to get a job while going to school."
Bruce then told me how his son had gotten a job and was still doing great in school and now calls him regularly just to ask, "How are things going, Dad?"

At which point I said to Bruce, "So was it worth going intobankruptcy, just to learn that you have a son who is actually astand-up man?"

After a moment's reflection, Bruce smiled, "Yes it was."

Bruce and his family and friends – people who get up every day and do what they need to do to provide for their families and to be good members of their communities – represent all that is still good in America. They are honorable people who spend all that they have to pay their debts, even if, like Bruce, it ultimately leads to bankruptcy. And when their businesses fail and life must go on, they take whatever job they can find to put food on the table.

How unlike the whiny, self-indulgent, profiteers who guided Wall Street's leading investment banks onto the shoals of insolvency. These people, who have nearly destroyed America's banking system, should be acknowledging their failures. Instead, they are demanding ever more of our resources, and of our children's resources, as the price for not making things even worse.
America would be better served if Hank Paulson were driving a cab in Manhattan, instead of trying to give billions of dollars of other peoples' money to his friends and colleagues on Wall Street. As a cab driver, there is some possibility that he would learn the value of a dollar, the importance of community and the inherent dignity of all good work. At the very least, we would all be $700 billion better off, less tips.

Fry is a writer for Agora Financial

Credit Card Reform Update

On December 18th, Congress passed a reform proposal to take effect July 2010 that puts to rest all the abusive contractual terms that allow credit card companies to blindside cardholders with excessive charges. The reform includes:

1. Eliminating double-cycle billing.
2. Eliminating confusing due dates.
3. Eliminating Universal Default.
4. Stopping the charging of over limit fees from temporary holding amounts (i.e. car rentals)
5. Requiring higher interest rate amounts be paid down first.
6. Simpler credit card terms.
7. Clearer disclosure in advertising
8. Banning "fee harvesting" from cardholders with lower credit scores.
9. Disclosing foreign transaction fees in solicitations, before the account is opened.

Sounds great doesn't it? I bet your congressman wants you to know they are doing this for you, and are going to make sure you are taken care of in terms of consumer credit. Well, don't break out the bubbly stuff yet. In the meantime, responsible customers who never make a late payment are getting significant rate hikes. Also, your Senators and House Representatives are milking this for a couple years to garner favor with voters until legislation comes down the pike to either overturn this or make it unenforceable. Two years is a long time. If you bet against this actually becoming reality, the odds would be in your favor. Just taking a closer look at the list and asking what it would look like in reality makes you wonder how real it really is, some of these would require an entire new oversight agency just to monitor and enforce.

New Rule Against "Unfair Practices"

There is a new rule against "unfair practices" at the Office of Thrift Supervision. It will be interesting to see if this actually makes any difference, or is even enforced. Chances are it will only mean that cardholders will be given an "express" reason for the increase in their interest rate that they would not have been given a reason for today. This isn't even supposed to take effect until 2010 and there is plenty of time to undo this with new legislation. Could it be a smoke screen by regulators to make Congress look like they are trying to protect the consumer?

The New Term "Rate Jacking"

Citibank, and other creditcard issuers, are starting a new practice, raising interest rates on customers who pay their bills on time for no good reason.

Banks are hurting, and they need to raise money these days. Why are they hurting? Because they push loans on people who can't afford them, then when the loan goes into default they think they'll start collecting tons of fees and interest. However, it is backfiring on them now. People aren't able to pay anymore at all, and the banks are losing for a change. Many people are now in total meltdown, losing their jobs, their homes, and everything. So the creditcard doesn't get paid at all from the people who were the "sweet spot" for the industry. To make up for this, Citibank has decided to punish its good customers by making them pay for the defaults. So much for taking responsibility for their own actions. This is referred to as "rate jacking".

Good thing you don't use credit cards anymore, eh? Pretty soon they'll figure out how to get more money from those who pay their accounts off every month. Don't be so arrogant to think you can outsmart them.

It Seems It Will Never End

The bailout total just keeps growing. If this keeps up, the Dollar will eventually be thrown into hyperinflation. Look at what is happening in Iceland this month. Watch the video on that web page featuring Glenn Beck. Here is how things are adding up so far:

$29 billion for Bear Stearns
$143.8 billion for AIG (thus far, it keeps growing)
$100 billion for Fannie Mae
$100 billion for Freddie Mac
$700 billion for Wall Street, including Bank of America (Merrill Lynch), Citigroup, JP Morgan (WaMu), Wells Fargo (Wachovia), Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and a lot more . On top of $45 billion for Citibank, comes a guarantee of $306 billion in bad loans.$800 billion to buy mortgages issued or backed by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Ginnie Mae and Federal Home Loan Banks.
$200 billion for the auto industry
$200 billion to buy securities tied to student loans, car-loans, credit card debt and small business loans.
$8 billion for IndyMac
$700 billion to $1 trillion stimulus package (from January)
$50 billion for money market funds
$138 billion for Lehman Bros. (post bankruptcy) through JP Morgan
$620 billion for general currency swaps from the Fed

“The numbers change so fast, it is hard to even add them up. Rough total: $3,651,800,000,000 .00 ($3.6 Trillion)

To put that into perspective, the Federal Debt was $5.7 Trillion when President Bush took office. In September 2008, it was up to $10 Trillion. Now in the space of a few months, we have increased it 36%. In September, it was 70% of the GDP, the highest percentage since 1955. The trend is on a steep incline. This is an indication that hyperinflation is not far away. This is a good time to be out of debt, and have as much savings as possible. Realize that Gold is a store of value. When hyperinflation hits, holding gold may be the best way to hedge against that inflation.

The Debt Clock

You know we are in trouble when the debt clock runs out of numbers.

Is Your Money Safe?

A lot has changed since the Great Depression. One thing that hasn't changed is that we never learned from the mistakes that caused it. We are repeating them. What does that mean for you as an individual? How do you weather the storm? Here is my take on the answers to those questions. First, put your money in a credit union. Credit Unions generally didn't get in deep with mortgage lending and usually haven't used Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to turn loans. They also don't have investment banks as part of their business. They are non-profits that have a primary mission to serve their members, not maximize profits for stockholders. Your money is least likely to be affected by the current banking situation. Second, start living without credit and establish a crisis fund of 6 months of expenses. Keep that money in a safe place like an insured money market account for access when you need it. Use it if you lose your job, or are affected by this banking crisis in some other way that causes a financial crisis for you. Third, consider getting my audio book "How To Live Debt Free" which details how to do this and other things to break our nation's addiction to debt one person at a time. (see details in previous post)If you are debt free, you should be less affected by a "freeze" in the credit markets, and more prepared to weather it.

Everyone is faced with reducing debt now

Let's face it. Now that our congressional leaders and the leaders of the treasury and federal reserve bank have come together to decide to borrow more money to solve a debt problem, we have put a bandaid on this serious economic problem. We are refinancing, so to speak. But the debt problem is still there. As credit tightens, we will all need to learn to live with less debt. I have already done this myself, and I can help you. That is why I am coming out with a new audio book to give you the specific steps to making this easier for you.

Buy an advance copy for a significant discount by sending me $25 (retail 39.95) to my paypal account at jim@jimandersononline.com and as soon as it comes off the presses, I'll mail it to you.

Debt is Really the Problem

As we move into this idea of the Government spending a trillion dollars or more to fix our credit crisis is more of the same mistake. Hear what Ron Paul has to say about it.

CEO Bonus for a Credit Crisis?

Food for thought...
When my business started going south in January 2001, I took a paycut and did everything I could to ease the cash crunch on the corporation. It was the right thing to do. Now, I am watching bank executives walk off with multi-million dollar severence packages while their banks are taken over by the FDIC. This is equivelent to me having fired myself as CEO instead, and have had the forethought to create a "golden parachute" for myself if I left my company as CEO. I could have walked away from my failing business and looted it with a severance package. Uncle Sam would have won because I would have paid income tax on that severance instead of writing off the corporate losses it would have been used to partially cover. I would have let it go into bankruptcy, and walked away with enough to fund my retirement. That is the game these guys are playing. It isn't their business, but they are basically looting a company they led to failure, in these cases, at the expense of our economy and taxpayers who ultimately have to pay for the bailout which means recovering the money for the severance pay as well. The IRS wins, because they get more tax revenue out of the situation.

Why does big business play by different rules than small business? Political corruption. Debt benefits our government officials in many different ways and costs us as individuals. Yet, if the next President allows the debt to keep growing, he will lead our country to a failed banking system and an economic crisis that could bring down our country's current form of government and likely leave us with a socialist or Marxist type system after the World Bank and International Monetary Fund bail us out.

The solution - get out of debt yourself NOW!

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Bailout

The warnings I have been posting on this blog for years starting to happen with this bailout. This is significant because these organizations are so large and are connected to the economy in such a profound way. Excessive debt destroys economies. People have been laughing at Ron Paul and his warnings. People laugh at me. They just don't listen, because our society does what everyone else does without thinking it through. Debt has become a norm, so much that people even believe it is foolish to pay off your mortgage because of the tax deduction. They don't do the math, they just listen to what people tell them.

Here are some comments about what this bailout is going to cost us from people who are paying attention:

“1.6 Trillion sounds about right, but they will stir things up, and mix more in, until it will be hard to tell, because it is an ongoing train wreck, and it never will be paid off, because it will destroy the dollar, so the real cost is a free America.”
— John H.

“Every bailout I’ve ever seen was at least a factor of 10 higher that the initial estimate. I’m betting on the 2 trillion number myself.”
— Steve O

“We’ll never know because by the time the numbers are in, we’ll be on to the next financially engineered crisis. But for a number — at least $1.3T.”
— John M.

The best way to protect yourself personally is to be completely debt free, including your mortgage, otherwise the future of your home ownership and financial well being may be in jeopardy. The cost of this will affect all of us no matter what we do, but if we are personally debt free we have a better chance of financial survival. Watch closely what happens. After this next election, we may be in for a big surprise, depending on who wins. It may not be immediate, it may take a few years. That comment above about losing our freedom - don't discount it too much. There may be some truth in that prophecy.

Creditcard Industry News

There is a lot going on in the financial sector these days. People are going broke from the oversaturation of debt and the lenders are starting to pay the price. Today the Congressional Budget Office reported that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac bailout could cost taxpayers as much as $100 billion dollars. Where is the government going to get that money? They just create it from nothing and add it to the money supply. The ultimate result is inflation, the hidden tax. Get ready, because the dollar is under tremendous inflationary pressure with oil prices in the mix too. It is a good time to seek refuge in Gold to preserve the purchasing power of your savings.

Many people say that American Express cards are not credit cards, but "charge cards", like there is a difference. American Express reported today that second quarter profits are down 37% from the same quarter last year, due to unexpected consumer defaults. This puts American Express's profits down a shocking 96% from last year at this time. If this is happening to American Express, I wonder what is happening to VISA and MASTERCARD issuing banks. Those defaulting on mortgages are certainly defaulting on credit card debt. They are mounting up big losses as well from the combination. Citigroup down $2.5 billion for the quarter only. JP Morgan down 53% and Capital One down 40%. Merrill Lynch has a $4.5 billion dollar loss. Wachovia and Washington Mutual are expected to be down significantly as well. There has been unverified rumors of them both being on the edge of insolvency.

On the other side of this coin, bank cards in China (including debit cards) are up 30% this year. Officials in China are targeting to more than double credit card usage. Currently, Chinese consumers have racked up $10 billion in consumer debt. A small number compared to the U.S. However, it is growing fast.

Folks. Debt does NOT pay! Our government is so deep in debt, they'll never pay it off, and they appear to be taking the same path as previous countries with fiat currencies - where the currency becomes caught in hyperinflation and the system fails because the government creates new money to pay for everything until they spiral out of control. Banks are too big and too important to fail, as is Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. So the government will bail them out by creating more money. With inflation already ready to drop the shoe on us, we're going to make it worse. That is scary.